This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum temperature in Jinan well above 26°C on August 22, with expected highs near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and regional heat across northern China support this outlook, consistent with historical August baselines where daily maxima frequently exceed 30°C. Trader positioning reflects the low likelihood of significant cooling from an unforecasted frontal system or measurement variance, though minor model adjustments or localized variability could shift the precise peak by a degree or two without crossing below the dominant threshold.