- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 21?>99¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent late-summer warmth across northern China drives the near-certain market consensus for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 21. Multiple forecast models project afternoon maxima of 32–35°C under light easterly or southerly flow, with only isolated thunderstorm chances, consistent with climatological norms for mid-to-late August in Shandong where seasonal highs routinely exceed 30°C. This aligns with ongoing warm-regime conditions confirmed by recent regional observations. Only an abrupt, unmodeled cold surge—highly improbable within 24 hours given strong model agreement and minimal spread—could realistically prevent the threshold from being met.