This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong seasonal solar heating and subtropical monsoon influences position Jinan for peak summer warmth on August 14, with official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the China Meteorological Administration projecting daytime highs of 29–32°C amid partly cloudy to thundery conditions. Climatological data confirm typical mid-August maxima around 30–32°C, rarely dipping below 26°C even during brief rain events, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified observational baselines and model runs rather than any single anomalous event. An unexpected sharp cold outbreak or major data revision from ground stations could theoretically alter outcomes, though such shifts remain highly improbable given persistent regional patterns.