- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 8?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 8?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 8?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 8?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 8?6¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate a high near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 8, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with light west-northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 40–60% that limits extreme daytime heating. September climatology shows average highs of 35–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, with stable high-pressure patterns and no significant tropical or frontal influences currently expected to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% implied probability for 37°C and 31.5% for 36°C, aligns with this model agreement, while the smaller shares for 38°C or higher capture uncertainty in afternoon peak timing or slight model spread. Updated runs from regional meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.