This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The tight spread between 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (39.5%) as Jeddah’s highest temperature on September 5 stems from small differences in afternoon peak heating under persistent late-summer Red Sea conditions. Official forecasts show typical daytime maxima near 36–38°C, modulated by the sea breeze that limits extreme warming along the coast while upper-level subsidence and low humidity favor rapid temperature rise after sunrise. Model ensembles diverge slightly on cloud cover timing and wind speed, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With resolution based on verified observations from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology, traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs plus any short-term adjustments expected before the peak heating window.