This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Jeddah's August 29 peak temperature centers on 37–38°C as the dominant range, with 38°C holding the highest implied probability at 44.5%. Persistent clear skies and strong late-summer solar insolation under the subtropical high are driving maximum daytime heating to these levels, consistent with climatological August highs near 36–38°C and current model guidance showing sunny conditions with light northwest winds. Morning observations indicate temperatures climbing steadily from the upper 20s°C, with dew points supporting heat indices above 40°C but minimal convective activity to disrupt peak readings. The modest probability for 39°C or higher (19%) reflects uncertainty in exact maximum timing and local measurement variability, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger sea breezes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models will refine these odds as the day progresses toward resolution.