- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 7?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 7?61¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 7?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 7?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 7 indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daytime peak near 25–26°C according to multiple model runs. This aligns with the September climatological average high of approximately 25–26°C and lacks any anomalous heat advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings higher. Official observations through midday have remained consistent with these projections, reinforcing trader consensus around the 25°C and 26°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated model guidance later today could refine the exact maximum, but current data show low likelihood of deviation beyond 24–27°C.