- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 29?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 29?61¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 29?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 29?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cool northerly airflow and scattered showers have suppressed daytime heating across Istanbul, keeping the highest temperature several degrees below the late-August climatological average of roughly 28–29°C. Official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and the Istanbul Valiliği project a peak of 26–27°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with intermittent rain, which limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Model consensus and real-time observations indicate the daily maximum will most likely occur in the mid-afternoon window before temperatures fall sharply after sunset. These conditions have anchored trader expectations around 24–25°C as the probable recorded high.