- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 26?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 26?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 26?63¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 26?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 26?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 26?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models project a daytime high near 29–30°C in Istanbul on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and negligible precipitation. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where high pressure and clear conditions support strong daytime heating moderated by the Bosphorus and Black Sea influences. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27–28°C as the peak, likely reflecting trader emphasis on station-specific measurements, potential sea-breeze cooling, or minor model spread in maximum temperatures. No significant forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours, with stable atmospheric conditions expected through the resolution window.