- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 25?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?59¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 25?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C or below on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts for Istanbul on August 25 indicate mostly sunny conditions with a maximum near 30–31°C under moderate northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime highs often reach the low 30s amid high pressure. Recent model consensus from agencies shows slight cooling from prior days' peaks near 32°C, yet market-implied odds favoring 28°C (58.5%) over 29–30°C outcomes suggest traders weigh specific station measurements, potential microclimate variations, or forecast adjustments expected before resolution. Low-probability tails for 26°C or below align with the narrow uncertainty range typical for this stable synoptic setup.