- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 22?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 22?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 22?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 22?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 22?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on 27°C as the most probable high for Istanbul on August 22, reflecting model agreement around late-August norms. Multiple forecasts, including those from the Met Office and BBC, indicate sunny conditions with highs of 27–30°C (81–86°F) under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average daily maxima near 28°C that decline modestly through the month, absent any significant synoptic shifts or moisture influx. Recent stable high-pressure patterns and clear skies have kept temperatures near seasonal values, with limited model spread supporting the tight 26–28°C probability cluster. Updated high-resolution runs from regional agencies could refine the exact peak before resolution.