- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 21?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 21?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 21?58¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 21?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 21?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C or higher on August 21?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models project a sunny August 21 in Istanbul with a daytime maximum near 28°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong solar insolation. Light to moderate northeasterly winds and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are expected to cap extremes, aligning with climatological August averages of 27–30°C while limiting urban heat-island amplification. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (56.5%) and 28°C (21.5%) as the most probable outcomes, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could still nudge the official reading one degree either way.