Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 17?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 17?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 17?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on August 17?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Istanbul's August 17 maximum will likely reach 28–29°C (82–84°F) under sunny conditions, yet trader consensus heavily favors 26°C (55.5% implied probability) and 27°C (35.5%). This positioning reflects late-August climatology, with daily highs typically declining from early-month peaks near 29–30°C toward 26–27°C averages amid cooling sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and shifting northerly winds that moderate urban heat-island effects. Recent observational trends show stable high-pressure dominance without significant warm-air advection, keeping extremes unlikely. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates or revised model runs could refine these narrow bands ahead of resolution.