Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 14?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?60¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 14?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C for Istanbul on August 14, positioning this as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability due to stable late-summer conditions. Moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Black Sea moderate daytime heating, keeping values close to or slightly below the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming without an unexpected shift in air masses or reduced wind flow. Resolution will depend on official observations at primary stations like Istanbul Airport, with traders weighting these verified surface data over broader climatological ranges.