- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 83°F or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 30?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 30?49¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 30?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 30?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 102°F or higher on August 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on August 30 points to a sunny to partly cloudy day with highs near 95°F under southerly flow and high pressure, supporting the near-even market split between 94-95°F and 96-97°F. Persistent warmth from above-average Gulf moisture and light winds limits daytime mixing, while isolated afternoon convection introduces modest uncertainty in peak readings by potentially enhancing cloud cover or triggering brief cooling. This setup aligns with late-August climatology but exceeds the 1991-2020 average high of 92°F amid an ongoing warm pattern, with traders weighting the slight risk of 96°F+ against any steering or moisture adjustments in the final model runs.