- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 89°F or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 25?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 104-105°F on August 25?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 25?53¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 106-107°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 25?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 108°F or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds are driving Houston toward a high near 100°F on August 25, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent heat-wave conditions that produced 99–101°F readings. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August support this range, though slight variations in timing of any thin cloud cover or station-specific measurements (e.g., Hobby Airport) create uncertainty around the exact peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of these near-term atmospheric factors over higher or lower extremes.