- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 23?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 23?59¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 23?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 104-105°F on August 23?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 23?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 112°F or higher on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 93°F or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 108-109°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 106-107°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 110-111°F on August 23?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to a high near 100°F in Houston on August 23 amid a persistent late-summer heat ridge and minimal cloud cover or rainfall. This setup favors the market-leading 100-101°F bin at 59% implied probability, consistent with the month’s climatological peak when daily averages reach 94–97°F and occasional 100°F readings occur under strong high-pressure subsidence that suppresses convection. Recent observations show the ongoing heat wave sustaining upper-90s to low-100s readings through the weekend, with limited tropical moisture or frontal passages to moderate temperatures. Updated model runs and any overnight guidance shifts will be the key near-term catalysts for traders assessing resolution risk against historical August extremes.