Highest temperature in Houston on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 104-105°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 17?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 108°F or higher on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 17?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 17?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 17?55¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 89°F or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 106-107°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 17?2¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model consensus point to sunny skies and light southerly flow sustaining highs near 97–98°F in Houston on August 17, driving the strong market concentration on 96–99°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal Gulf moisture are maintaining typical late-summer warmth without significant cloud cover, rain, or frontal passage to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest afternoon heating expected under mostly clear conditions; historical August averages near 95°F provide context, while the absence of tropical moisture or stronger winds keeps the risk of 100°F+ readings low. Updated NWS guidance and any late-day model shifts will be the key near-term catalysts for further probability adjustments.