Highest temperature in Houston on August 13?
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 83°F or below on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 13?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 13?51¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 13?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 102°F or higher on August 13?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Hot, humid conditions typical of mid-August in Houston, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to daytime highs in the 90s and potentially nearing triple digits amid lingering Saharan dust, are the main drivers behind the 52.5% implied probability for a 96-97°F peak. Forecast models show consensus on limited cloud cover and weak steering patterns that favor modest warming without significant convection or tropical moisture intrusion to suppress maxima. Historical August averages near 95°F provide context for why 94-95°F remains the secondary outcome at 39.5%, while sub-94°F or 98°F+ brackets stay at low single-digit odds absent major model shifts. Updated NWS observations and final daily maximum readings later today will resolve the market.