- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 5?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 5?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 5?40¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, aligning with early-September climatology where average highs reach about 31°C. Southerly to southwesterly flow and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% support daytime warming to these thresholds, while any earlier or heavier precipitation could limit peaks nearer 30°C. Model spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, yet small differences in cloud cover or shower timing introduce the modest probability for 32°C. Traders assign the highest implied odds to 31°C, reflecting the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty in convective development.