- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the expected high for August 27, 2026, in the 27–31°C range under mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms, some heavy at times early in the day. South to southwest winds of force 4 (gusts to force 5 offshore/high ground) are expected, consistent with an active southerly monsoon flow. Recent conditions show similar patterns: highs of 29–31°C amid frequent thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus and climatology for late-August Hong Kong favor maxima near 30–31°C when convection is not continuous, but heavy early showers can cap readings closer to 29°C by reducing insolation. Trader sentiment clusters on 29–31°C because these thresholds align tightly with the forecast envelope and typical variability in convective timing. Differentiation hinges on shower coverage and timing—widespread morning storms favor the lower end, while afternoon breaks allow brief warming toward 31°C—creating genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched probabilities. No major tropical cyclone influence is anticipated to alter steering or intensity substantially.