- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 26?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 26?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 26?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 26?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 26?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble forecasts (ECMWF/GFS) indicate a daytime maximum near 30–32°C on August 26 amid a broad low-pressure trough, southwesterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that cap surface heating. High relative humidity (70–95%) and limited early-day insolation further constrain peaks, consistent with late-summer climatology where urban stations often exceed the official area value by about 1°C. Model consensus and recent station trends support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C, with resolution hinging on afternoon convective timing and any localized clearing.