- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 22?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 22?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 22?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable maximum for Hong Kong on August 22, reflecting August climatology where daily highs typically average near 31–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August–October 2026 indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with high humidity and frequent showers or thunderstorms common during peak typhoon season that can suppress peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model runs and historical analogs show narrow day-to-day variability driven by steering flow patterns and local sea-breeze effects, leaving limited scope for extremes above 33°C or below 30°C under current atmospheric setup.