Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 17?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?39¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 17?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 17?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 17?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on August 17 at 38.5% implied probability, closely followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting tight forecast spreads around the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest guidance. Persistent subtropical ridging supports above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook for August–October, while embedded showers and thunderstorms—driven by enhanced moisture convergence—introduce variability that caps extreme heating and favors outcomes clustered near the climatological peak of 31–33°C. Short-range model runs show limited disagreement on steering flow and cloud cover, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C. Official maximum temperature resolution at the primary station will hinge on precise timing of convective activity tomorrow.