- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 8?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 8?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 8?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and observational data from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 35–36°C in Guangzhou on September 8 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and moderate humidity around 50–70%. Recent clearing after scattered showers on September 6–7 has allowed strong solar heating in this subtropical location, with daytime maxima already reaching 33–34°C on the 7th. Ensemble guidance shows limited disagreement on peak values, though afternoon cloud build-up or isolated convection could trim the high by 1°C. Trader consensus at 36°C (50%) and 35°C (24%) aligns with this consensus range, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the modest risk of enhanced insolation or delayed mixing. Final station readings will resolve the market.