- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 2?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 2?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 2?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 2?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 2?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 2?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 2?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high in Guangzhou of 30–32°C on September 2, driven by moderate northerly flow, partial cloud cover, and low precipitation probability (under 15% in most runs) that limits afternoon convective cooling. Trader consensus around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects amid high humidity near 60–70%. Seasonal baselines near 33°C are tempered by post-monsoon subsidence and recent rainfall patterns, with resolution hinging on official station readings during peak afternoon hours.