- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 28?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 28?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 28?29¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 28?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 28?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 28?4¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional centers indicate a high near 34–35°C for Guangzhou on August 28 amid lingering monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms, which limit afternoon solar heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent days have featured widespread rain and highs of 31–33°C, consistent with seasonal patterns of elevated humidity and weak steering flows that suppress extreme heat. Historical data show an average August 28 maximum of 33°C, with 36°C or higher occurring only in select years under clearer, drier conditions. Traders weigh the balance between potential afternoon clearing that could push readings to 35–36°C against continued showers favoring 33–34°C, with model spread and short-term timing uncertainties keeping the top outcomes closely matched.