- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 27?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 27?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 27?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 27?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from a moist tropical air mass are capping peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 27, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Guangdong Meteorological Bureau indicating a high of 31–32°C amid heavy rain and thunderstorms. High dew points near 25–27°C and near-100% cloud fractions reduce incoming solar radiation, preventing the surface from reaching the seasonal average of 33°C. Model consensus shows only modest variability in timing of heaviest precipitation, keeping 31–33°C as the dominant range and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Official station observations at resolution time will determine the exact maximum.