This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Guangzhou point to thundershowers and overcast skies on August 14, which are the main factors capping maximum temperatures near 31–32°C according to trader consensus. Subtropical monsoon conditions bring high humidity and convective instability, promoting afternoon storms that reduce solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while steering patterns keep stronger typhoon influences at bay for now. This setup aligns with typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs, though model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the close split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine land-sea breeze and moisture profiles ahead of resolution.