- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 77°F or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 30?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 30?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 30?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 30?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 30?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 30?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 96°F or higher on August 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from NOAA and private sources project a Denver high of 84–90°F on August 30, 2026, with the market’s tight clustering on 86–89°F reflecting consensus around afternoon convective development. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph and 30% thunderstorm chances after midday introduce key uncertainty: early or widespread storms would cap heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 84–87°F bins, while delayed or isolated activity could allow stronger insolation and push readings into the upper 80s. Dew points near 40–45°F and modest humidity support modest instability, consistent with historical late-August climatology where highs average near 85°F but vary several degrees with steering patterns and moisture return. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations through the afternoon remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.