This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate Denver highs climbing into the low-to-mid 90s on August 18 as monsoon moisture retreats and high pressure builds, promoting clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. With a seasonal normal high of 87°F, current model consensus and observational trends favor readings near 90–93°F, directly supporting the market's leading 90–91°F bin at 48.5% implied probability. Afternoon convection remains possible but appears limited enough to permit peak temperatures in this range rather than suppressing them below 88°F or pushing extremes above 94°F. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and moisture return become clearer.