This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver points to a daily maximum near 88–91°F on August 17 under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and dew points in the mid-50s. This consensus, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August highs averaging around 88°F, drives the market’s heavy weighting toward the 90–91°F and 88–89°F bins. Minor spread in ensemble runs and potential for slight afternoon mixing or boundary-layer moisture shifts create the observed probability distribution, with lower bins reflecting cooler outliers if clouds or earlier convection develop. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any further refinement in implied odds.