Highest temperature in Denver on August 16?

WeatherRecurringDenverDaily TemperatureHighest temperature
Start Date
2026-08-15
End Date
2026-08-16
24h Volume
$8K
Total Volume
$9K
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on August 16?<1¢
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 16?<1¢
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on August 16?
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 16?
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 16?14¢
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 16?44¢
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 16?28¢
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 16?
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 16?
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 16?<1¢
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be 92°F or higher on August 16?<1¢

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 16, 2026, call for mostly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms likely after midday, limiting daytime heating and supporting a high near 82°F. This aligns closely with the market's leading 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, which together exceed 77% implied probability, as convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures 5-8°F below the 88°F seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability in steering patterns and moisture, reducing upside risk for 86°F+, while earlier August heat records (102°F+) highlight how quickly conditions can shift with clearer skies. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates most heavily ahead of final observations.