This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 15 point to mostly cloudy skies with thunderstorms likely after midday, limiting peak heating and supporting highs near 82–84°F. Afternoon convection driven by available moisture and daytime instability reduces surface insolation and enhances evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes in the narrow 80–83°F range that dominate trader positioning. This aligns with recent model consensus showing modest CAPE values and steering patterns favoring scattered rather than widespread storms, while August normals near 88°F provide context for the cooler bias. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the afternoon remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution within the tightly contested bins.