- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on September 3?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on September 3?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 3?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 3?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 3?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 3?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Dallas's September 3 maximum temperature centers on the balance between expected southeast flow bringing humid air and the timing of afternoon convection. Official NWS forecasts from the Dallas/Fort Worth office project a high near 93°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4 pm, consistent with the September climatological average of 93°F. However, model consensus and recent surface observations show sufficient low-level moisture and weak capping to favor scattered storms that could reduce insolation and cap readings in the upper 80s to low 90s. This uncertainty—particularly whether cells develop early enough to suppress the peak—explains the tight clustering around 88–91°F outcomes. Heat-index values near 100°F remain possible if breaks of sun occur before convection, but any earlier or more widespread rain would favor the lower bins.