- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 26?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 26?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 26?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 26?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 26?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 26?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 26?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 26?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 112-113°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 114°F or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent late-August heat across North Texas, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating, positions 100–101°F as the market leader at 35.5% implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs show highs near 101–104°F for Dallas on August 26 amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, following multiple days above 105°F. An approaching cold front may introduce modest cooling, increased cloud cover, or isolated storms that cap the daily maximum below recent peaks, explaining elevated odds on 98–99°F and 102–103°F bins. Historical late-August climatology near 95°F underscores the anomaly, while traders weigh forecast uncertainty in exact frontal timing and convective development against official monitoring data.