This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus highlight persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southwesterly winds with dew points in the upper 50s as the main drivers for efficient daytime heating in Dallas on August 25, 2026, supporting a high near 106°F. This follows an active extreme heat warning and recent readings exceeding 107°F, well above the late-August climatological average of roughly 95°F. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 104–105°F bin incorporates ongoing model guidance and historical late-summer variability, while lower-probability higher bins account for potential intensification under continued dry conditions. Updated NWS briefings and any afternoon observations remain key near-term catalysts.