- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 97°F or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 22?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 22?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 22?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 22?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on August 22?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 112-113°F on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 114-115°F on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 116°F or higher on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate mostly sunny conditions with a high near 106–107°F for Dallas on August 22, 2026, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge, southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances below 20%. This aligns with the ongoing Texas heat wave, where recent days have seen highs of 103–105°F and heat indices exceeding 110°F due to humidity around 30–50%. Trader consensus favors the 104–105°F bin at 41% implied probability, reflecting model consensus around the upper 100s while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 2–3°F and low odds of exceeding historical records near 107°F. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will likely influence any shifts ahead of the daily maximum.