This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 18, 2026, center on sunny skies and highs near 103–105°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, strong solar heating, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 104–105°F (38.5% implied probability), 102–103°F (24.5%), and 106–107°F (23.5%), reflecting trader consensus around typical late-summer conditions slightly above the long-term August average of 96°F. Recent model runs and heat advisories through August 17 confirm stable hot, dry patterns with low moisture, limiting convective cooling. Minor uncertainty stems from potential afternoon mixing or small forecast adjustments before resolution, though climatological analogs support limited deviation from the mid-100s range.