This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus on sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure for Dallas on August 17, supporting a peak temperature near 103–105°F amid light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with the market's leading 104–105°F bin at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 102–103°F at 29.5%, as typical mid-August climatology in North Texas favors highs in this range with low precipitation chances. Recent model runs show little change in steering patterns or upper-level ridging that could alter intensity, though slight forecast uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing keeps the 106–107°F outcome at 21.5% viable if mixing exceeds expectations.