- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 7?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 7?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 7?53¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 7?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 7?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on September 7?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources point to a peak of 37°C in Chongqing on September 7 under persistent clear skies and light southeasterly winds. Recent observations show daytime highs of 34–36°C in the preceding days with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. Multiple ensemble runs converge on 36–38°C, with limited potential for 39°C absent unexpected warming or model shifts. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure reinforce this range, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 37°C while leaving modest probability for adjacent outcomes if afternoon observations edge higher or lower. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely confirm the peak.