- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 6?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 6?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 6?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 6?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chongqing on September 6, 2026, centers on 36–37°C as the leading outcomes, with market-implied probabilities of 29.5% and 49.5% respectively. This reflects aggregated forecasts from multiple models showing a peak in the mid-30s Celsius under predominantly clear to partly cloudy skies. Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate in early September typically features strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover, allowing daytime highs to reach or exceed seasonal averages near 30–33°C. Current conditions—high-pressure influence, light southeasterly winds, and low precipitation probability—support further warming, consistent with recent observations of 34–36°C on September 4–5. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Station and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a daily maximum of 35–37°C for the urban area on September 6, with localized readings potentially touching 38°C or higher in favorable spots but unlikely to sustain broader extremes. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of model consensus and historical analogs for early-September heat events against the narrow resolution window and measurement variability across official stations. With resolution imminent and no major frontal systems or heavy rain expected to suppress temperatures, the market-implied odds closely track the scientific data favoring 36–37°C as the most probable recorded high.