- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 5?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 5?49¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 5?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 5?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 5?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 5?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts positions Chongqing's September 5 high near 35°C, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 35–36°C outcomes. Seasonal transition from summer heat, combined with light southerly flow, moderate humidity around 50–60%, and limited cloud cover, supports gradual warming from recent 33–34°C readings without strong frontal systems or significant precipitation to suppress maxima. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers introduces uncertainty, keeping 37°C or higher at lower implied probability while historical September baselines in the region favor this narrow range. Updated runs and official briefings ahead of local midnight will refine the final observed peak.