- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 4?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 4?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 4?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 4?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 4?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 4?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 4?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles indicate a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating Chongqing on September 4, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar heating that favors afternoon maxima near 34–35 °C. Recent surface observations show dew points in the low 20s °C and minimal cloud cover, supporting efficient boundary-layer warming without significant moisture or frontal disruption. Ensemble spread remains modest, with some runs suggesting slightly cooler outcomes if low-level stratus develops overnight, while others allow brief peaks near 36 °C under optimal insolation. Traders have priced 34 °C and 35 °C as the leading outcomes, reflecting this narrow range of guidance ahead of official daily maximum readings.