- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 2?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 2?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 2?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 2?40¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration place Chongqing’s September 2 maximum near 33–35 °C under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity, producing the near-even 44.5 % / 40 % split between 35 °C and 34 °C. Small differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island intensity create the narrow gap between these outcomes, while lower-probability bins reflect tail risks of greater cloud cover or stronger advection. Official station readings at 14:00 local time tomorrow will determine resolution, with any last-minute model update capable of shifting the market-implied odds before then.