- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 1?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 1?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 1?49¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 1?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 1?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 1?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Chongqing on September 1 point to a peak temperature of 34–36°C under mostly sunny or clear conditions with negligible precipitation risk, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure and seasonal warmth typical of early autumn in the region. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug (around 35–36°C) and regional outlooks (33–35°C) supports this range, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with light winds and moderate humidity that limit overnight cooling. Trader-implied odds, with 35°C leading at over 50%, align closely with these data while accounting for minor model spread and potential microclimate variations at official stations. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final resolution benchmark as the day approaches.