- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 29?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 29?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 29?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 29?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 29?29¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 29?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 29?6¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent strong rainfall and influx of northern cold air under easterly flow have driven Chongqing's market-implied odds toward 27–29°C for August 29, with 28°C narrowly leading at 29.5%. Official Chongqing Meteorological Station guidance projects mid-western highs of 27–31°C amid mid-to-heavy rain (locally 50–80 mm or more), while central districts face 27–32°C with persistent cloud cover and 6–9 grade gusts suppressing insolation. This marks a sharp cooldown from prior 36–40°C peaks, as evaporative cooling and reduced solar heating limit afternoon maxima. Minor model spreads in rainfall timing and intensity create the tight clustering around these values, with any earlier clearing or lighter totals potentially allowing brief rises toward 30°C. Updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration will further refine resolution thresholds.