- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 25?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 25?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 25?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 25?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C or higher on August 25?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 25?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 25?32¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from China's meteorological authorities highlight persistent subtropical high pressure over the region, sustaining hot, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin with limited cooling from scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms on August 25. Official outlooks project center-city highs near 36°C alongside regional peaks of 38–39°C, while global models show minor divergence around 34–38°C depending on convective timing and cloud cover. Traders assign the tightest implied probabilities to 36–38°C outcomes because these align with the latest consensus, where any earlier or heavier rainfall could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Updated model runs and local bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine this narrow range.