- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 24?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 24?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 24?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 24?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 24?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 24?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on August 24?6¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily high near 37–38°C (around 100°F) for Chongqing on August 24, amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and isolated thunderstorms. Trader consensus clusters on 36–37°C because these align with the latest numerical weather prediction runs showing limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and convective activity, while historical August climatology for the region—averaging 34°C highs but frequently reaching 36–40°C—supports upside risk to 38°C if skies clear. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress afternoon convection, model spread on maximum temperatures, and the resolution threshold tied to official observations from local stations, with new model updates expected overnight to refine probabilities.