This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus in this Chongqing temperature market centers on 37–38°C as the most likely peak for August 17, reflecting the city's subtropical monsoon climatology during peak summer. Typical daily maxima in mid-to-late August range from 33–36°C according to long-term station data, with occasional excursions above 40°C during heatwaves driven by persistent high-pressure systems, low wind speeds, and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River valley. Recent model guidance and historical analogs suggest limited intensification potential tomorrow due to possible scattered cloud cover or monsoon moisture, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around those two outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and updated observational data will provide the final resolution criteria based on verified station readings.